Discussion on “Demographics and Innovation”

In discussing the presentation on “Demographics and Innovation” by François Derrien, the speaker noted that the paper successfully gathered various data to control for factors that appear to be correlated with age structure and innovation. She also underscored the policy implications of coping with an aging population, such as incentivizing childbirth and encouraging younger and skilled immigration. She further expressed curiosity on whether the authors would draw a similar conclusion if their analysis would be conducted using data from Asian countries.​

Demographics and Innovation

Are younger labor forces more innovative? The authors attempt to answer this question using the native-born labor force projected based on local historical births in the US. They used three successive levels of analysis to eliminate or examine effects such as firm and inventor life cycles. They also established that innovation activities reflect the innovative characteristics of younger labor forces, and firms in younger labor markets have higher valuations.

The Impact of Demographic Change on Labor Supply and Economic Growth: Can Asia Meet the Challenge Ahead?

Some member-nations of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) will see their working-age population grow or slightly decline by 2050; others will see them shrink. Several APEC countries rely on migration to expand their labor force and GDP. The labor force participation rates among people aged 50-64 and women aged 15-64 are expected to rise in almost all APEC member countries by 2050, and affect the growth in GDP per worker. Policies should focus on migration, resolving bilateral issues, the health and training of elderly workers, child care, and gender wage gap.

Health Capacity to Work at Older Ages: Evidence from Japan

The labor force participation rate among Japanese men and women over the age of 65 has increased since 2010. This research shows that older people in Japan have a significant capacity to work at older ages. A follow-up study found, however, that after retirement salaried men who held jobs at age 54 have few employment opportunities and tend to become underemployed.

Sameer Khatiwada

Sameer is an economist who leads preparation and implementation of ADB loans and technical assistance projects in public resource management. Prior to joining Public Sector Management and Governance Sector Office in Sectors Group, he was with the Southeast Asia Department where he prepared ADB’s assistance in education, skills development, social protection, and jobs.

Demographic Change and Labor Quality in the Republic of Korea

The authors conducted research to analyze the Republic of Korea’s human resource development from 1986 to 2016, measure changes in labor resources, and project labor quality and quantity growth up to 2040. They found that the labor quantity growth rate declined from the late 1980s to 2016, but the labor quality growth rate was sustained, and is expected to be sustained until 2035. Employing more elderly and female workers could help push labor quantity growth. ​