Event: KDIS-3ie-ADB-ADBI Conference on Impact Evaluation - Challenges and Promise for Human Capital Development in Asia [VIDEO] Microfinance Can Raise Incomes: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in China 17 November 2020 Author / Speaker Shu Cai This study investigates the impacts of a government-led microcredit program in China which implemented at scale in its poor rural areas with a randomized controlled trial (RCT). In contrast to recent RCT-based studies that have failed to find evidence of significant increases in income from microcredit interventions, we find that the Chinese program significantly raises household income and reduces poverty. We explore possible explanations as to why the estimated impacts may be greater in China: lump-sum repayments, lower interest rates, less access to formal credit before the program, and greater potential returns from off-farm employment opportunities that are credit-constrained. Disclaimer The views expressed on this website are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. By making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area, or by using the term “country” in this document, ADB does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area. Topics Economics Finance